11 Comments
User's avatar
Stephen Lockhart's avatar

Using observational evidence, the Bible noted than the span of life was three score and ten with allowance for some living even longer. Of course not everyone got there.

Expand full comment
Chana Davis @FueledbyScience's avatar

Brilliantly debunked. These graphs are so eye-opening!

Expand full comment
Jenn Dowd, PhD's avatar

Thanks Chana! It felt like the right visual was key!!

Expand full comment
Elizabeth's avatar

Yes! This is so important to remind (or teach) people about this in our current health environment. I always remember in tandem with this that before now-common vaccines, healthy adults could suddenly die from something as simple as a cut from a razor (Henry Thoreau's brother, John, died of lockjaw), which skews the numbers, too.

Expand full comment
Jenn Dowd, PhD's avatar

Indeed! We've improved mortality a lot at ALL ages, but especially for infants and kids.

Expand full comment
Craig Yirush's avatar

Why then use the average rather than the modal age?

Expand full comment
Jenn Dowd, PhD's avatar

Some people do argue for this, but you obviously lose a lot of information there too, so there are always trade-offs. Life expectancy does summarize mortality rates at all ages in a single number... it's just not as easy to interpret as it sounds given the name.

Expand full comment
Tom Jones's avatar

Because the modal age for most of history will be 0

Expand full comment
Craig Yirush's avatar

No one alive is ever zero years old. The post said the modal age is more accurate.

Expand full comment
Tom Jones's avatar

Typically we count age in whole years ie you are 0 until you have lived a year at which point you turn 1. Therefore accounting for mortality in the first year of life, the modal age of death would be 0. Nowhere in the article are fractional ages used, so 0 would be the mode.

Expand full comment
George McBride's avatar

I wonder what life expectancy would be today, if you included all abortions?

Expand full comment